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OpenAI's $70B run-rate figure turns out to be a gross-vs-net question, as Western open models pitch sovereignty
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The FT's ARR report on OpenAI shows how differently the frontier labs count revenue. Also: Reflection's Beam and the shift in token share toward open models, a16z's TypeSafe Series A, the cost of running agents, and constraints on infrastructure capital.

OpenAI's $70B figure depends on how revenue is counted

Yesterday's brief reported OpenAI's run rate as approaching $70B. On Thursday the Financial Times reported that the ARR figure OpenAI gave investors in its current funding round was actually $20B below that widely cited number, and AI stocks fell . Newcomer says the gap mostly comes from how the two labs count revenue. OpenAI reports net revenue. Anthropic reports gross, which includes models sold through partners like Amazon and Microsoft before those partners take their share . Bloomberg later reported that OpenAI expects to reach $70B annualized revenue by year-end, apparently on a net basis. Investors and customers see the two labs as roughly neck-and-neck .

This matters for the expected Anthropic IPO and for any comparison between OpenAI and Anthropic. Without adjusting for the accounting difference, yesterday's chart showing Anthropic overtaking OpenAI is hard to interpret. Newcomer links the same lack of transparency to deals priced at more than one valuation, which it says are becoming normal. It warns that unclear valuation figures carry real risks for investors, employees and founders .

Western open models are being pitched on sovereignty

Three open models launched this week, each pitched as the choice for buyers worried about AI sovereignty: Reflection's Beam (US), Mistral's Large 4 (France) and Aleph Alpha's Kolibri (Germany) . Beam has 501B parameters with 23B active. Large 4 has 1T parameters with 49B active and a 1M-token context window. Neither had released its weights yet; both said weights would come later this month .

Demand for the sovereignty pitch looks limited so far. Investors told Newcomer that few portfolio companies care where their open models come from, except those handling sensitive trade or government data. Many will use a Chinese model if a US provider such as Baseten or Fireworks hosts it . The Western models match Chinese models on some benchmarks but trail on overall capability. GLM 5.3, Kimi K3 and DeepSeek V4.1 are still the most popular models on Baseten and Fireworks . One investor added that customizing open models can get expensive quickly .

Reflection CEO Misha Laskin gave several data points on No Priors:

  • Token share: on gateways such as OpenRouter and Vercel, the token mix has flipped in about six months from 70/30 closed/open to 70/30 open/closed. He expects most token demand to go to open models, while closed-model companies stay very valuable .
  • Catch-up cost: reaching the frontier cost hundreds of millions of dollars about 18 months ago and single-digit billions about six months ago. He expects around $10B next year, roughly a 4x compute increase per model generation .
  • Beam's training: pretraining used 6,000 GB300s. The reinforcement-learning run used more than 10,000 GB300s for four weeks, so more compute went to RL than to pretraining .
  • Efficiency claim: he says Beam is 3–4x more efficient than models in its capability class, and about 10x more efficient than some larger models .

A Lightspeed guest estimated that open-weight models are about 6–12 months behind the frontier. On that view, they suit high-volume work like support tickets, while long-running coding agents stay on closed models .

a16z leads TypeSafe AI's Series A

a16z said it is leading TypeSafe AI's Series A. Its thesis is that AI should "make software more powerful, and not just automate the recreation of existing software" . A team member's launch post says the model "accidentally served trillions of tokens a day," that "29.4% of the fortune 500 showed up," and that the company raised "a really big series A" three weeks after launch. The post gives no definitions or round size . Founder Diogo Almeida pushes back on the idea that AI will wipe out SaaS: "software is very cheap" but not necessarily "easy to replicate." He calls SaaS "one of the largest winners of the whole AI game" .

Agent costs depend on caching and routing more than list prices

Clouded Judgement argues that the cache-read rate, not the per-token list price, drives what agents actually cost . In a modeled 40-turn session with an 85% cache hit rate:

  • Fable comes in about 16% below Astra, even though their list prices are the same.
  • Grok 4.7 is the cheapest flagship on list price but costs more than Sol and Terra .

The author suggests that cached context could create switching costs as agents run longer. He acknowledges this may be far-fetched .

Two operator data points:

  • Asana says that keeping an agent's page history stable enough for caching cut one browser-agent workflow from at least $36.21 to $0.47 per run . The study used only three or four runs per condition, and its baseline included capped runs .
  • LangChain says that sending each Open SWE task to the cheapest model that still passes quality tests cut median cost per task by 64% .

Infrastructure: capital, permits and power

  • Lambda is reportedly raising up to $4B at a $14.5B pre-money valuation, possibly its last private round before a planned 2027 IPO . Its backlog grew from $15B in June to $50B in September, but about $35B of that appears to come from one Anthropic contract. Backlog is not revenue, and contracts can be cancelled . Lambda has also raised debt several times .
  • Amazon says it will stop using NDAs in data-center negotiations with local governments . Communities are already passing temporary moratoria .
  • Pat Gelsinger (former Intel CEO) says AI can design a chip in three months, but fabrication, packaging and rack integration mean nine months before it can be used . He expects more data-center projects to default because the power won't be there . He named vertical GaN power conversion and 800V DC as areas to watch .
  • Cisco says its AI infrastructure orders went from zero to $9.3B in two years .

Hard tech

  • Atomic Machines came out of six years in stealth with the Matter Compiler. The company describes it as a system that builds micro-machines from code with no per-product tooling . Its founder is Jeff Holden, who was Amazon's tenth engineer and Uber's first CPO . Its first product is a 150-amp relay for 800V DC data centers, which it says it is beginning to ship to early customers .
  • Anduril plans to invest $3.7B in a submarine-component shipyard at Sparrows Point. The Navy contract is worth up to $2.9B, with payments tied to production results . Production in Maryland is targeted for 2030 .
  • Biohub expanded a $1.8B virtual-cell data collaboration. Google DeepMind, Isomorphic and Meta are putting in $300M, and the total includes compute and existing data .
  • Ultra reportedly raised $50M to rent warehouse robots for a monthly fee rather than sell them. It has raised $62M in total and its robots have packed more than 500K orders .

Venture structure

True Ventures' Puneet Agarwal describes a split market. Capital is concentrated in fewer firms and companies, and early stage has "been forgotten a little bit" . Because AI makes products easy to copy, True looks for founder depth and asks what could be proprietary or compounding, such as a data advantage .

On liquidity, SaaStr notes that the median tech company takes 11.5 years to IPO, while a standard venture fund lasts 10. Only 4% of US VC-backed exits in H1 2025 were IPOs . Anthropic would take about 5.5 years from founding if it prices this year .

Elizabeth Yin described tranched SAFE rounds, where a founder offers a first tranche (for example $300K of a $1M raise) on better investor terms . If the tranche fills quickly, the valuation was probably set too low. If it fills slowly even at a low valuation, the raise likely has a bigger problem .

The UK plans measures to functionally ban non-competes for startups and scaleups, with details due at the October 28 budget . The announcement opens a consultation and does not settle the policy .

Science signals

  • OpenAI math results: no one has reviewed all of OpenAI's 700+ math manuscripts, not all are Lean-certified, and some proofs have already been retracted after outside scientists found errors .
  • Station: in this agent environment, agents rediscovered 62.7% of the findings from three ICLR oral papers, compared with 14.4–20.6% for AI Scientist-v2 .
  • Senolytics: a 31-patient phase 2 trial of senolytic drugs in fibrotic liver disease (MASH) reported fibrosis improvement in 47% of patients versus 7% on placebo .
OpenAI's $70B run-rate figure turns out to be a gross-vs-net question, as Western open models pitch sovereignty
Elad Gil
Profile
  • Reflection AI grew from about 30 to 300 people in a year, assembled pretraining, mid-training, and reinforcement-learning teams, and released Beam as its first open model; CEO Misha was a Google DeepMind researcher, while cofounder Giannis was a DeepMind founding engineer and AlphaGo contributor. Beam has 500B total parameters and 23B active; the company says it is 3–4× more efficient than models in the same capability class and up to 10× more efficient than larger models, crediting strong pretraining and large-scale RL.
  • CEO Misha estimated that capital needed to catch up to the frontier had risen from hundreds of millions of dollars roughly 12–18 months earlier to single-digit billions around six months earlier, with tens of billions expected for the next generation; he estimated compute grows about 4× per model generation.
  • Misha said gateway token mix had shifted in about six months from roughly 70% closed/30% open to 70% open/30% closed; he expects open models to capture most token demand while closed-model companies remain valuable. His enterprise thesis is that companies adopt open models after building significant workloads on closed models, first customizing the surrounding systems and agent harnesses rather than fine-tuning; providers therefore need deployment tools and solution support, not just inference. He also expects margin pressure across models, applications, inference, and bare-metal infrastructure, while identifying demand for Western open-model providers among enterprise, public-sector, and sovereign buyers amid uncertainty and aversion around Chinese models.
  • As an illustration of AI-for-science potential, Misha said models progressed on his PhD-thesis problem from undergraduate-level answers to PhD-level solutions and then to producing information he had not considered; he is optimistic about AI interfacing with experiments in life sciences, materials science, and chemistry, which he expects to accelerate more slowly than theoretical work but substantially versus prior methods.
Beam: The Great American Open Model with ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
TechCrunch
  • Amazon said it would stop using NDAs in negotiations with local governments over data centers amid growing community backlash; hosts described transparency as a first step, not a guarantee of support. Communities are imposing temporary moratoria, while zoning and funding delays are also slowing buildouts.
  • Ghost is developing a $3,499 personal-AI computer with an Nvidia GPU, preinstalled models and software, and continuous operation without cloud access; hosts questioned its differentiation and saw its likely initial market as AI enthusiasts, noting that detailed specifications were sparse. Another personal-agent startup, TAB, emerged from stealth with a reported $300 million valuation and no disclosed funding.
  • Local operation and privacy are recurring pitches for personal agents, but the products require access to sensitive personal data and face restrictions from device and service platforms. Hosts also cautioned that UnderDog’s Stripe transaction fees could incentivize agents to push purchases, and questioned whether that revenue can cover high model-use costs.
  • Lambda is reportedly seeking up to $4 billion at a $14.5 billion pre-money valuation, potentially its last private round before a planned 2027 IPO; hosts doubted it would meet that timeline. Its reported backlog grew from $15 billion in June to $50 billion in September, but about $35 billion appeared tied to one Anthropic contract; hosts emphasized that backlog is not revenue and contracts can be cancelled. They also noted Lambda’s multiple debt raises and the sector’s reliance on debt to fund data-center buildouts. Separately, the hosts said OpenAI was about to close a $30 billion round and suggested abundant private-market capital could pull companies away from IPOs next year.
  • Uber agreed to acquire Easy Cater for $2.3 billion in cash, expanding Uber Eats into office and event catering through a marketplace connecting catering providers with business customers.
Amazon and others are done keeping their data center deals secret | Equity Podcast
Lightspeed Venture Partners
  • Reflection unveiled Beam (501B total parameters, 23B active); a Mistral model was described as 1T total/49B active, with a 1M context window and 160 languages, while both models’ weights were still expected later that month. The guest framed the western open-weight push as a challenge to Chinese open-source dominance, citing control, customization for enterprise workflows and private data, and lower costs as advantages. They assessed open-weight models as roughly 6–12 months behind frontier models, with support-ticket workloads suitable before more demanding tasks such as drug discovery or long-running coding agents.
  • DoorDash announced Air, an in-house six-propeller aircraft beginning with restaurant deliveries in Northern California and Chipotle and Popeyes as partners. Its Ask DoorDash chatbot was in preview, and the company said nearly half of restaurant orders through it from June to August went to places customers had not tried before. The guest cited DoorDash’s marketplace network as an advantage, but noted that consumer agents could send customers to competitors or restaurants’ own delivery services. A personal-agent protocol discussed in the episode aims to verify users and require authorization before agents act; the guest said consumer and business agents will need interoperable rails.
  • Avara, which builds AI avatars for sales-team training, raised a $17M Series A and reported ARR growth above 400% year over year, with Elastic, Proofpoint, and Netcope among its customers; Lightspeed said it led Avara’s 2024 seed and participated in the Series A. Industrial robotics company Robco passed a $1B valuation, doubling it in nine months. It sells more than a dozen robots for logistics and manufacturing; its mobile two-arm Alfie system can handle tasks such as stabilizing a car part with one arm while painting it with the other.
  • Aura Ring withdrew its IPO one or two days before the offering despite reported book demand of 4x oversubscription (Bloomberg) or 5x (Fortune). The discussion cited valuation concerns over one-time hardware versus recurring software revenue, while noting the company was growing and profitable; the guest said IPOs still require favorable market conditions.
Reflection Beam, Mistral Le Chonk & the Drone That Delivers Your Chipotle | Lightwork
All-In Podcast
  • Jason Calacanis said his pre-accelerator was running its second Japan cohort and operating twice-yearly programs in Japan and Riyadh. The 12-week program helps founders who have built a product but are not yet incorporated finish it and seek product-market fit; it invests in the top 10 of 50 participants, and Calacanis planned to hire locally in Japan.
  • The episode reported that OpenAI released more than 700 papers containing 370 results claiming to solve or advance major math problems, produced by an unreleased model; the proofs reportedly took under three hours of compute each. Lean had verified the results, but they had not yet been reviewed.
  • Speakers cited potential applications including changes to optimization algorithms used in chip design and logistics, and faster matrix multiplication for AI training. But discussion was mixed: one speaker cautioned that these specific proofs did not demonstrate imminent major product breakthroughs; the episode framed math and coding as especially fast-moving partly because their results are readily verifiable.
  • Elon Musk said Grokbot would become “headless,” selecting the end-to-end model most likely to produce the best outcome. The hosts also described agents doing practical consumer tasks, including canceling subscriptions and changing phone plans, with one anecdote claiming savings of several thousand dollars a year; they said Amazon was blocking agents while Shopify, Uber, and DoorDash were permitting agent transactions.
  • The podcast said developers had decompiled Adobe’s five major products and published open-source versions. One host argued that, as software becomes headless and accessible through agent tools, software IP could lose much of its value—a potential challenge to software moats, presented as the host’s interpretation.
Is Claude Conscious? Pope Rejects, Model Welfare Movement, OpenAI's Math Backlash, France Riots
Not Boring by Packy McCormick
  • Atomic Machines emerged after six years in stealth with the Matter Compiler, which it describes as an AI-native manufacturing system that builds working micromachines from code without per-product tooling or process development. Founder and CEO Jeff Holden was Amazon’s tenth engineer, built Prime, and became Uber’s first Chief Product Officer. Its first product, the PrimeSwitch PS-150, is a 9.5 mm, 150-amp relay that opens in 50 microseconds—about 1,000 times faster than a contactor—for 800-volt DC data centers; Atomic says existing chip fabs cannot process its materials or assemble its moving parts and that it is beginning to ship to early customers. The article places the opportunity alongside MEMS, a $15.4 billion market across 31 billion units in 2024, and notes that developing existing devices can take years of process work.
  • Anduril, in which the publisher discloses it is an investor, plans to invest $3.7 billion in a two-million-square-foot Arsenal-2 shipyard at Sparrows Point to manufacture Virginia-class submarine components; the Navy awarded the company a contract worth up to $2.9 billion, with payments tied to demonstrated production outcomes. The plan starts with torpedo tubes and progresses to larger submarine sections; the software-defined facility is intended to automate and digitally track factory work down to individual welds, with Maryland production targeted for 2030 and a California facility planned to start in 2028. This expands component capacity, but is not a solution to U.S. shipbuilding as a whole and does not address commercial vessels.
  • Biohub announced an expanded $1.8 billion collaboration to build data for predictive cell models. Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs, and Meta are collectively investing $300 million alongside Biohub’s existing commitment and DOE and NIH contributions; the total includes computing and existing data resources as well as funding. The partners plan shared datasets for training and testing models, with the aim of letting researchers explore interventions digitally and take promising ones into physical labs.
  • Privo reported small Phase 2 results for PRV111, a topical cisplatin patch studied in patients with non-invasive oral cancer or high-grade precancerous lesions. Biopsies showed complete clearance in 21 of 22 patients, the remaining lesion improved to low-grade dysplasia, all 22 avoided planned surgery, and no treated-area recurrences had been observed at a median 14-month follow-up; Privo also reported negligible systemic exposure and no serious treatment-related adverse events. The evidence is preliminary: the study had only 22 patients, and how long benefits last remains an open question.
  • As an early AI-media workflow example, Packy says he gave an essay, references, and creative direction to Claude and ChatGPT to orchestrate a short film using Runway, and produced it in a few prompts.
Weekly Dose of Optimism #214
No Priors: AI, Machine Learning, Tech, & Startups
  • Reflection AI grew from about 30 to around 300 people in a year, assembled pre-training, mid-training, and reinforcement-learning teams, and released Beam, its first open model. Its co-founders’ background includes DeepMind and Gemini work; Giannis was a DeepMind founding engineer and contributed to AlphaGo. The company expanded from an RL-focused bet on coding and math agents to building models end to end after RL advanced faster than expected, strong open models were coming from China, and pre-training proved important for RL at scale.
  • CEO Misha estimates frontier-model catch-up costs have risen from hundreds of millions of dollars roughly 12–18 months earlier to single-digit billions around six months earlier, and potentially around $10 billion going into the following year; he gives a rough 4× compute increase per model generation. Beam has 500B total parameters and 23B active; its training used 6,000 GB300s for weeks, while its RL run used more than 10,000 GB300s for four weeks. He claims Beam is 3–4× more efficient than models in its capability class, and up to 10× versus larger models.
  • The CEO says the gateway token mix he observes shifted in about six months from roughly 70% closed/30% open to 70% open/30% closed; he expects open models to account for most tokens while closed-model companies remain valuable. He expects enterprise customization to start mainly with systems and agent harnesses rather than fine-tuning, unlike AI-native workloads reported as mostly customized; enterprises often consider open models after substantial closed-model spending, with cost and compute availability among the drivers. He sees durable competition depending on intelligence density, compute, and customer trust, while expecting margin compression across the stack.
  • The CEO says enterprise, public-sector, and sovereign demand for Western open models is an opportunity amid regulatory uncertainty and reluctance toward Chinese models. He argues that open access can help identify safety and security vulnerabilities, and that restricting cyber-offensive capabilities can also limit defensive use.
Beam: The Great American Open Model with ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
  • Gelsinger says AI-chip design is becoming less of a bottleneck than getting hardware into service: design may take three months, while fabrication, advanced packaging, and rack integration stretch time to usable deployment to about nine months; he also flags memory bandwidth and power and thermal modeling and delivery as constraints.
  • For AI accelerators, Gelsinger expects today’s roughly 100 processor vendors to consolidate: shifting workloads, capital and deployment scale, and large customers choosing hardware/software winners limit durable specialization. AI agents may make chip-specific software easier, but very large data-center capital requirements constrain heterogeneity.
  • Gelsinger expects AI’s memory demands and capital investment to revive memory innovation after three decades without a major new memory architecture; he highlights stacking memory with compute and materials such as ferroelectrics, while expressing skepticism toward low-cost flash proposals.
  • Gelsinger warns that energy availability could cap AI data-center construction and lead to defaults on projects without power. He identifies nuclear, 800V DC and power conversion—including vertical GaN—and cooling as innovation areas.
  • For AI-cluster networking, Gelsinger expects optical scale-up links, including NPO/CPO approaches, around 2028–29 and sees predictable AI traffic as favorable to optical circuit switching; supply-chain maturity, thermal and package integration, and laser capacity remain hurdles.
  • Gelsinger expects an agent-focused virtualization and management layer that abstracts hardware and operations for agents and handles security, performance, and migration, while humans set policies and monitor agents.
Former Intel CEO: Why This is the Best Time to Build Hardware
Fei-Fei Li
Profile
  • Fei-Fei Li said she is on partial leave from Stanford to build World Labs, a startup she started with former students and colleagues; she named Justin Johnson, Ben Mildenho, and Kristoff Lassner as co-founders. The company is building spatial intelligence—3D understanding, reasoning, and creation for embodied agents—which Li sees as a next stage of AI with commercial applications in creativity, design, robotics, entertainment, and the metaverse.
  • World Labs’ technology is intended to range from reconstructing known environments to generating imagined worlds. Li cited controllable 3D world creation for film, digitizing and remodeling captured experiences, and robotics and metaverse applications; she said traditional methods for film-world creation are very expensive.
  • Li’s historical account links modern AI’s 2012 takeoff to the convergence of big data, neural-network algorithms, and Nvidia GPUs; ImageNet contained 15 million images curated from a billion and organized into 22,000 categories.
  • Li advocates investment in public-sector and academic AI research, citing potential applications in drug discovery—including rare diseases—biodiversity mapping, energy, and personalized teaching. On governance, she favors scientific evaluation and practical, application-level safety measures over restricting AI development upstream.
Stop Saying AI Will Replace Us | Fei-Fei Li | The Futurology Podcast
No Priors: AI, Machine Learning, Tech, & Startups
  • Reflection AI grew from about 30 to 300 people in a year, assembled pretraining, mid-training and reinforcement-learning teams, and released its first open model, Beam. CEO Misha says the company broadened its initial RL-focused thesis to train models end to end because strong open bases were scarce and pretraining and RL proved tightly coupled; the co-founders brought DeepMind and Gemini RL experience.
  • Reflection says Beam has 500B total parameters and 23B active; training used 6,000 GB300s, with infrastructure improvements bringing the run to about 12 days, while its RL run used over 10,000 GB300s for four weeks. The company claims Beam is 3–4x more efficient than models in the same capability class, and up to 10x more efficient than larger models, attributing this to a strong pretraining base and large-scale RL.
  • The CEO estimated that resources to catch up to the frontier had risen from hundreds of millions of dollars about 18 months earlier to single-digit billions about six months earlier, with roughly a 4x compute multiplier per model generation.
  • The CEO said gateway token mix had shifted in roughly six months from 70% closed/30% open to 70% open/30% closed, and expects open models to take most token demand while closed-model companies remain valuable. He sees enterprise adoption moving from closed-model use toward open models as costs grow, often first customizing the surrounding system or agent harness rather than fine-tuning; open-model vendors can sell deployment tools and services, and compute shortages are reviving interest in on-prem infrastructure.
  • The CEO describes competition and margin pressure across the model, application, inference and infrastructure stack as open models strengthen buyers’ alternatives. His proposed durable advantages are intelligence density, access to compute and customer trust.
Beam: The Great American Open Model with ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
TechCrunch
  • In a 2026 fundraising discussion, True Ventures managing partner Punit Agarwal described a bifurcated market: capital is concentrated in fewer VC firms and companies, driving exceptionally large rounds and valuations, while seed and early-stage investing is less prominent. He advised founders to identify investors still willing to back high-risk, data-light companies at those stages.
  • AI makes it easier to build and mimic products, so True looks for founder depth and a distinctive strength, plus a credible view of how the market may develop and what could become proprietary or compound, such as a data advantage. True invests across data-center infrastructure, nuclear power, software, apps, hardware, robotics and consumer devices, and says it follows founders into promising markets rather than letting a fixed thesis dictate investments.
  • True estimates it makes about 20 investments annually, narrowing several thousand pitches to hundreds or roughly 1,000 companies it examines closely. Agarwal said seed rounds of $2–4 million were common in his experience, while $50–100 million seed rounds also occurred; larger raises raise the bar for the next round and can increase overcapitalization risks. True’s earliest investments often lack revenue; for deep-science companies, it instead weighs founder expertise and a staged plan with defined milestones.
Build Mode Bonus: Inside the VC Decision-Making Process with True Ventures' Puneet Agarwal
Lightspeed Venture Partners
  • The interviewee argues that AI companies developing foundation or application models should have a Washington, D.C., presence to explain the technology to policymakers and help inform regulation, comparing AI’s potential impact and safety concerns with those surrounding electricity.
  • The interviewee estimates that token usage through model gateways shifted from roughly 70% closed and 30% open models six months earlier to the reverse, while the overall market grew; they interpret this as adopters moving from “renting” closed-model intelligence toward owning it, while demand remains for both. As AI-native startups scale, the interviewee says open models offer greater cost control through fine-tuning, compute availability, and data sovereignty, while reducing reliance on providers that may become competitors; they say similar demand is emerging in enterprise and public-sector users.
  • The interviewee attributes China’s recent prominence in open models, particularly after DeepSeek, mainly to geopolitical incentives and limited access to foreign closed models—not to an inherent technological advantage. They also argue that open models can improve safety through broader testing and vulnerability patching; as an example, they say Hugging Face used open GLM to remediate an incident after closed-model safeguards prevented its use of those models for cyber defense.
Shifting From Renting AI to Owning It
a16z
  • a16z featured TypeSafe AI’s “build prod, not God” approach. Ben Horowitz described the company as unusually joyful about AI and quoted its world-improving outlook; Diogo Almeida argued that critics focus on ML-level concerns and that understanding AI’s promise requires understanding developers.
  • A linked @CompleteSkeptic post says a model launch accidentally led to serving “trillions of tokens a day,” claims 29.4% of Fortune 500 “showed up,” and reports a large Series A from a16z; it also says “it’s been 3 weeks.” The post does not define what “showed up” measures.
Ben Horowitz and Diogo Almeida on TypeSafe AI's "build prod, not God" approach: Ben: "You said something there that is so unusual in toda… launched a model accidentally served trillions of tokens a day 29.4% of the fortune 500 showed up raised a really big series A from [@a16…
Scott Kupor

Scott Kupor challenged @Moonalice, which was promoting The Social Reckoning as a film about Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen and said it hoped the film would change minds about Facebook, to disclose how much it and Elevation Partners made on 2009–10 Facebook investments and whether it disgorged the profits. Kupor posed these as questions, not verified findings.

I hope everyone will find time this weekend to see The Social Reckoning, which opens everywhere tonight. It tells the tale of FB whistleb… Might want to disclose how many billions you and Elevation Partners made off of your 2009-2010 investments in FB. Presuming you disgorged…
Scott Kupor

The post points to forthcoming updates on POTUS’s “Super Intelligence Force,” but provides no details about its scope or status.

Big announcement that you may have read about already. Happy Federal Friday! Watch for updates on [@POTUS](https://x.com/POTUS)’s Super I…
Y Combinator

YC’s Main Function featured Cisco President and Chief Product Officer Jeetu Patel discussing Cisco’s AI-era infrastructure strategy; the post says Cisco’s AI infrastructure business went from zero to $9.3B in orders in two years, spanning networking, security, silicon, and infrastructure. The episode also covers infrastructure for AI agents and the data-center buildout, and raises whether AI infrastructure is being overbuilt.

Jeetu Patel is Cisco’s President and Chief Product Officer, helping turn one of the world’s largest technology companies into what he cal…
a16z
  • a16z highlighted TypeSafe AI’s Diogo Almeida arguing that cheap intelligence should make software itself automatable, not merely add limited chatbots, and could enable new kinds of work; Martin Casado described AI as a new primitive for rebuilding systems.
  • A linked post claims a model launch was serving “trillions of tokens a day,” that 29.4% of the Fortune 500 “showed up,” and that the team raised a “really big” Series A from a16z within three weeks. The post does not name the company, so these claims cannot be confidently attributed to TypeSafe AI.
TypeSafe AI's Diogo Almeida on why Jev is called Jev, and what cheap intelligence finally changes about software: "It's wild that AI is s… launched a model accidentally served trillions of tokens a day 29.4% of the fortune 500 showed up raised a really big series A from [@a16…
martin_casado

a16z partner Martin Casado said he is excited to partner with @CompleteSkeptic and team to make software better, arguing that software will remain central to solving humanity’s problems. The linked launch post claims the team’s model served “trillions of tokens a day,” attracted 29.4% of the Fortune 500, and raised a “really big” Series A from a16z; it says three weeks had passed, but gives no round amount.

"The era of software being over, is so over". Hell yeah. Whatever problems humanity must face, computers and software will be central to … launched a model accidentally served trillions of tokens a day 29.4% of the fortune 500 showed up raised a really big series A from [@a16…
martin_casado

Martin Casado says an AI bot helps him develop ambient and drone patches for analog generative music , which he listens to while coding or writing .

Old meets new -- analog generative music created (in part) by an AI agent. I have a [@bot](https://x.com/bot) who helps me come up with n…
Garry Tan

Garry Tan floated hiring the best AI-enabled workers at full salary for only 20 hours per week, calling it an interesting idea . He linked the idea to a Forbes headline reporting Jeff Bezos’s claim that AI could enable three-day workweeks and one-income families .

Kind of an interesting idea: explicitly hire the best AI-enabled workers at full salary but only 20 hours a week. [https://x.com/forbes/s… Jeff Bezos Claims AI Could Allow For 3-Day Workweeks And One-Income Families [https://go.forbes.com/bKpnur](https://go.forbes.com/bKpnur)…
Garry Tan

Garry Tan says AI labs’ progress is accelerating while societal adoption is not, predicting “fast takeoff with slow uptake” because society has natural brakes.

The rate of progress in the labs is accelerating The rate of adoption of that progress in society is not It’s going to go both very fast …