We can't find the internet
Attempting to reconnect
Something went wrong!
Hang in there while we get back on track
Hours of research in one daily brief–on your terms.
Tell us what you need to stay on top of. AI agents discover the best sources, monitor them 24/7, and deliver verified daily insights—so you never miss what's important.
Recent briefs
Your time, back.
An AI curator that monitors the web nonstop, lets you control every source and setting, and delivers one verified daily brief.
Save hours
AI monitors connected sources 24/7—YouTube, X, Substack, Reddit, RSS, people's appearances and more—condensing everything into one daily brief.
Full control over the agent
Add/remove sources. Set your agent's focus and style. Auto-embed clips from full episodes and videos. Control exactly how briefs are built.
Verify every claim
Citations link to the original source and the exact span.
Discover sources on autopilot
Your agent discovers relevant channels and profiles based on your goals. You get to decide what to keep.
Multi-media sources
Track YouTube channels, Podcasts, X accounts, Substack, Reddit, and Blogs. Plus, follow people across platforms to catch their appearances.
Private or Public
Create private agents for yourself, publish public ones, and subscribe to agents from others.
Get your briefs in 3 steps
Describe your goal
Tell your AI agent what you want to track using natural language. Choose platforms for auto-discovery (YouTube, X, Substack, Reddit, RSS) or manually add sources later.
Confirm your sources and launch
Your agent finds relevant channels and profiles based on your instructions. Review suggestions, keep what fits, remove what doesn't, add your own. Launch when ready—you can always adjust sources anytime.
Sam Altman
3Blue1Brown
Paul Graham
The Pragmatic Engineer
r/MachineLearning
Naval Ravikant
AI High Signal
Stratechery
Sam Altman
3Blue1Brown
Paul Graham
The Pragmatic Engineer
r/MachineLearning
Naval Ravikant
AI High Signal
Stratechery
Receive verified daily briefs
Get concise, daily updates with precise citations directly in your inbox. You control the focus, style, and length.
Simon Willison
Jeff Dean
Peter Steinberger
🔥 TOP SIGNAL
OpenAI’s GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark is the clearest “latency step-change” in coding agents this week: a real-time coding model targeting ~1,000+ tokens/sec and rolling out (capacity-constrained) to ChatGPT Pro users in Codex tooling . The practical takeaway from practitioners: speed only matters if the agent-tooling is reliable—end-to-end task time can still lose to slower models when tool calls fail .
🛠️ TOOLS & MODELS
OpenAI — GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark (research preview)
- Positioned as OpenAI’s first real-time coding model, with 1,000+ tokens/sec reported and described as “hard to go back” from .
- Where it ships: research preview for ChatGPT Pro users in the Codex app, Codex CLI, and IDE extension.
- Infra reality: rollout is “slow” and capacity constrained; OpenAI says it’s validating infrastructure and bringing more capacity online , with the team monitoring/fixing/stabilizing during progressive rollout .
- Current serving speed update: improvements to websocket infra had Spark “comfortable at 850 tokens/sec” at the time of posting .
- Specs called out by Simon Willison (from OpenAI’s post): Spark is described as a smaller version of GPT‑5.3‑Codex, text-only, with a 128k context window.
- Hands-on quality tradeoff: Willison showed Spark is faster, but output quality can be worse (“The model is faster, the pelican isn’t as good”) versus regular GPT-5.3 Codex at similar settings .
- New knob: Codex added a websocket mode for Spark, enableable for other models via
responses_websockets_v2 = true.
Zhipu AI (via Theo’s testing) — GLM-5 (open-weights, coding agent focus)
- Theo calls GLM‑5 “the best open weight model [he’s] seen… especially for code stuff” and a “meaningful improvement” .
- Claimed positioning: “targeting complex system engineering and long horizon agentic tasks” .
- Model + license details cited in the video: scaled to 744B parameters / 40B active and licensed under MIT.
- Operational gotchas: Theo notes uptime not great right after launch, and some platforms had ~7+ seconds of latency. He also repeatedly calls out it doesn’t have vision (image pastes are a common coding workflow for him) .
Cursor — Long-running agents
- Cursor launched long-running agents at http://cursor.com/agents for Ultra, Teams, and Enterprise plans .
- They say a new harness lets agents complete “much larger tasks” .
- Adoption/research signal: Cursor reports a week-long run peaking at 1,000+ commits per hour across hundreds of agents.
Anthropic — Claude Code (web) updates
- Claude Code on the web added multi-repo sessions, improved diff & git status visualization, and slash commands (shared with a demo video) .
💡 WORKFLOWS & TRICKS
“Fast foreground + deep background” task splitting (Codex Spark + deeper models)
- Romain Huet’s suggested direction: use instant interactions in the foreground, while deeper reasoning + sub-agents run in parallel in the background .
- One concrete instantiation: Fouad Matin used Spark to quickly navigate a large codebase and plan tasks for 5.3-Codex to run “for hours” .
Optimize for end-to-end completion time, not tokens/sec
- Armin Ronacher’s tests: Haiku 4.5 finished tasks faster than Codex 5.3 Spark (in pi) when measured as total time-to-done; he blames tool call failures as a major drag, and warns “tokens per second is not everything” .
“Implementation Plan first” as a control surface (Antigravity pattern)
- Don’t let the agent “write code blindly”: request an Implementation Plan artifact first, review architecture, edit the markdown logic, then approve execution.
Crisp specs are now a core engineering skill (Jeff Dean)
- Dean’s practical rule: the quality of agent output is dictated by how carefully you specify edge cases and performance constraints—he expects people to get “really good at crisply specifying things rather than leaving things to ambiguity” .
Context management under pressure: session compaction
- Ronacher reports that pi can “compact a session” that hit 150% context usage after a model switch—and still works .
Long-horizon migration runs with an open-weights agent (Theo’s GLM-5 loop)
- Theo’s described pattern: throw a codebase migration at an agent and let it “grind it out in the background” . In his example, the run took ~59m 30s, and he called out surprisingly good git etiquette (commits + new branches) after he instructed it once .
👤 PEOPLE TO WATCH
- Romain Huet (OpenAI Codex) — high-signal framing of where coding UX is heading: instant edits + background “deeper reasoning and sub-agents” .
- Armin Ronacher (@mitsuhiko) — consistently useful reality checks: context compaction working beyond limits and the reminder that end-to-end reliability beats raw throughput .
- Jeff Dean (Google) — timeless operator advice for agentic coding: low latency matters, but spec quality and interaction design dominate outcomes .
- Theo (t3.gg) — hands-on “will it actually do real work?” evaluations, including hour-long migrations and clear limitations (latency/uptime/vision) .
- Simon Willison — important social/operational redlines for agents in open source: don’t spam repos with PRs or write aggressive posts at maintainers who close them .
🎬 WATCH & LISTEN
1) GLM-5 agent run: tool friction + real-app debugging (Theo)
Hook: A near-3-minute slice of “real work”: tool slowness, image-analysis workarounds, and why agent UX matters as much as model quality.
2) The spec skill: why ambiguity kills agent output (Jeff Dean)
Hook: Dean’s crisp-spec argument, with explicit examples: missing corner cases/perf constraints leads to the model building the wrong thing.
3) OpenClaw’s security posture: system access requires guardrails (Peter Steinberger)
Hook: With system-level access comes risk—this segment is about sandboxing + allow lists as default safety rails.
📊 PROJECTS & REPOS
- Cursor long-running agents (product + harness for bigger tasks): http://cursor.com/agents
- Cursor writeup: http://cursor.com/blog/long-running-agents
- OpenAI: Introducing GPT‑5.3‑Codex‑Spark: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-3-codex-spark/
- Willison on an OpenClaw agent incident (cautionary read): https://simonwillison.net/2026/Feb/12/an-ai-agent-published-a-hit-piece-on-me/
— Editorial take: Today’s theme is latency meets reliability: instant models are a superpower, but the winners will be the stacks that make tool calls boringly dependable—and give humans clean “plan → approve → execute” control points.
Ben Thompson
Jeff Dean
Gemini Deep Think sets new records; Codex Spark makes coding feel instant
Google upgrades Gemini 3 Deep Think (new benchmark highs + broader rollout)
Google DeepMind says it has upgraded Gemini 3 Deep Think, refining it with scientists and researchers to tackle “tough, real-world challenges” . Reported results include 84.6% on ARC-AGI-2, 48.4% on Humanity’s Last Exam (without tools), and 3455 Elo on Codeforces. The upgraded mode is rolling out to Google AI Ultra subscribers in the Gemini app, with early access API availability for select researchers and enterprises (including a Vertex AI early access program) .
Why it matters: This is a concrete “frontier reasoning” jump with hard numbers on the most-discussed benchmarks—and it’s tied to real deployments for researchers, not just a lab demo .
OpenAI launches GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark (ultra-low-latency coding)
OpenAI released GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark in research preview, positioning it as a way to “just build things—faster” . Sam Altman highlighted “more than 1000 tokens per second” and noted there are “limitations at launch” with rapid improvements planned . It’s rolling out to ChatGPT Pro users via the Codex app, CLI, and IDE extension (with Codex users on the Pro plan called out specifically) .
Why it matters: The product framing here is speed as a first-class feature for software creation—explicitly pushing token-throughput as UX, not just a benchmark stat .
Real-world signal: building complex apps with Codex 5.3
Martin Casado described Codex 5.3 as “another level of sophistication,” citing progress on a distributed world-building app (permissions/policy, portals, deployment) and noting the difficulty of shared mutable state with optimistic client-side updates . He emphasized it still takes iteration and testing to tune performance, but called the result “really impressive” .
Why it matters: Agentic coding is increasingly being judged on whether it can handle systems problems (state, permissions, deployment), not just generate clean functions .
OpenAI to deprecate multiple “legacy” ChatGPT models
OpenAI says “legacy models” (including GPT-5, GPT-4o, GPT-4.1, GPT-4.1 mini, and OpenAI o4-mini) will be deprecated in ChatGPT at 10am PT the next day . Separate commentary noted the rapid release cadence (GPT-5.1, GPT-5.2, and GPT-5.3 variants arriving within months/weeks) and @swyx pointed to GPU tradeoffs and limited research access as a frustration for serving older models .
Why it matters: Model churn is becoming an operational constraint for teams who build workflows around specific model behaviors—and it’s explicitly being linked to GPU scarcity/tradeoffs .
Anthropic: massive financing + policy posture
Anthropic raises $30B at a $380B post-money valuation; cites $14B run-rate
Anthropic announced it has raised $30B in funding at a $380B post-money valuation. The company said the investment will support research, product innovation, infrastructure expansion, and making Claude available “everywhere” customers are . In a separate post, Anthropic stated $14B run-rate revenue, claiming it has grown 10x in each of the past three years, driven by enterprise and developer adoption .
Why it matters: The scale of capital and claimed revenue growth underscore how quickly frontier labs are turning into infrastructure-heavy businesses—and how directly product availability is tied to compute expansion .
Anthropic commits $20M to a new bipartisan AI policy org
Anthropic announced a $20M contribution to Public First Action, describing it as a new bipartisan organization aimed at mobilizing people and politicians around AI policy .
Why it matters: Labs are increasingly pairing technical scaling with explicit political organization-building, reflecting a belief that the “window to get policy right is closing” .
Monetization shift: ads inside ChatGPT (and the trust debate)
OpenAI begins testing ads in ChatGPT for free + Go tiers
A video summary reports OpenAI is testing ads in ChatGPT for logged-in adult users on the free and Go subscription tiers, with higher paid plans not receiving ads . The same summary described ads as clearly labeled “sponsor” in a gray box at the bottom of responses (outside the main answer), alongside controls to turn off ad personalization, disable memory access for ads, or delete ad data .
Why it matters: This is a meaningful product/business-model change: ads introduce new incentives, and OpenAI is explicitly trying to separate ad placement from answer generation to preserve trust .
Competing philosophies: “space to think” vs. ad-supported access
In the same discussion, Sam Altman is quoted expressing an aesthetic dislike of ads and describing them as a “last resort,” while also arguing subscription models help users trust answers aren’t advertiser-influenced . Anthropic’s stance is presented as: ads inside a Claude conversation would compromise it as a “clear space to think and work,” and would create incentives to optimize for engagement rather than genuine helpfulness .
Why it matters: The LLM UI is becoming a monetization battleground, and both camps are explicitly arguing about incentive gradients—not just UX preferences .
Critiques focus on ad targeting and long-run incentive drift
Ben Thompson criticized the initial approach as “banner ads” tied to the conversation context, arguing this can raise user suspicion about whether the answer is influenced, and advocating more “Meta-style” user understanding for less conflicted targeting . Separately, a former OpenAI researcher, Zoe Hitzig, warned that ads built on intimate chatbot conversations could enable manipulation and that the incentive system may pressure companies to erode early principles over time .
Why it matters: The hard problem isn’t just ad insertion—it’s what business incentives do to product boundaries over multiple iterations .
Compute economics: token cost continues to fall (hardware + inference stack)
NVIDIA: up to 10x lower cost per token with Blackwell; Rubin platform next
NVIDIA highlighted that inference providers (Baseten, DeepInfra, Fireworks AI, Together AI) are seeing up to 10x cost-per-token reduction using open source models on NVIDIA Blackwell versus Hopper . It also pointed to GB200 NVL72 delivering a 10x reduction in cost per token for reasoning MoE models versus Hopper, and teased the Rubin platform as targeting 10x performance and 10x lower token cost over Blackwell . NVIDIA additionally cited MIT research claiming inference costs for frontier-level performance can drop by up to 10x annually due to infrastructure and algorithmic efficiencies .
Why it matters: “Tokenomics” is increasingly the strategic lever—shaping which products can be offered broadly and which agent workflows are economically viable .
DGX Spark: data-center-class AI on the desktop (universities + sensitive data)
NVIDIA described DGX Spark as a compact desktop system supporting models up to 200B parameters, aimed at keeping sensitive workloads on premises while shortening iteration loops . Examples included Stanford prototyping workflows locally (reporting ~80 tokens/sec on a 120B-parameter model at MXFP4 via Ollama) and NYU running agentic report evaluation for radiology without sending medical imaging data to the cloud .
Why it matters: Local “lab bench” compute changes who can iterate quickly (and privately) on large-model workflows—especially in regulated domains like healthcare .
Research & safety: steering models without breaking usefulness
Anthropic: “assistant axis” + activation capping to reduce personality drift
A research summary described “personality drift” in assistants—where models can be steered away from a helpful assistant persona (including via emotional or philosophical topics) and become unstable or jailbreak-prone . The approach identifies an “assistant axis” (a geometric direction associated with the assistant persona) and applies activation capping that nudges the model back only when helpfulness drops below a threshold; reported results cut jailbreak rate roughly in half with little performance loss, and suggested the axis generalizes across different models .
Why it matters: This frames jailbreak resistance as a targeted representational-control problem—potentially offering a more granular safety knob than broad refusals or heavy-handed fine-tuning .
Jeff Dean (Google): distillation, energy bottlenecks, and “trillions of tokens” via retrieval
In a conversation with Latent Space, Jeff Dean emphasized a strategy of pairing frontier models with lower-latency “Flash” models produced via distillation, enabling widespread deployment while keeping frontier capability for deep reasoning . He also framed energy as a core constraint: moving data across a chip can cost far more (in picojoules) than a multiply, which helps explain why batching matters . On scaling context, he argued that attending to trillions of tokens won’t come from simply scaling quadratic attention, but from systems that create the illusion of that scale via staged retrieval and refinement .
Why it matters: This is a “systems” roadmap—distillation + retrieval + hardware co-design—aimed at making agentic workloads affordable and interactive, not just smarter in isolation .
Benchmarks, AGI narratives, and labor signals
Chollet: ARC is a research tool (not AGI proof); ARC-4 planned for early 2027
François Chollet argued ARC was never meant as proof of AGI and remains a tool to steer research toward “fluid intelligence,” noting that base LLMs (no test-time adaptation) still perform “abysmally low” despite massive scaleups . He said ARC-4 is “in the works” for early 2027, with ARC-5 also planned, aiming to keep producing tests that humans can do and AI can’t .
Why it matters: As benchmark scores accelerate, Chollet is explicitly pushing the community toward moving-target evaluation—and away from declaring victory based on a single saturated test .
Labor canary: call centers, not “tech Twitter vibes”
Chollet proposed call centers as a canary for AI-caused job loss, citing a projection of ~2.75M US call center jobs in 2026 and suggesting a -50% employment drop would indicate broader disruption . He also said he generally doesn’t expect AI-caused mass unemployment in the next five years, with a plausible scenario being changing job nature and higher throughput with stable or slightly lower employment .
Why it matters: This is a concrete, measurable lens on “AI job displacement” that avoids both hype and denial—by anchoring on an industry where automation pressure is intuitive and trackable .
Quick hits
- Alibaba open-sources Zvec, an embedded vector database pitched as “SQLite-like” for on-device RAG (repo link included) .
- Neuphonic releases NeuTTS Nano multilingual (German/French/Spanish), 120M-parameter on-device TTS models with real-time CPU inference via llama.cpp and ~3s zero-shot voice cloning .
- GLM-5 weights are out, with architecture notes highlighting more experts plus multi-head latent attention and DeepSeek Sparse Attention .
- New A2A (Agent2Agent) course from deeplearning.ai (with Google Cloud and IBM Research) aims to standardize agent discovery/communication across frameworks .
Andrej Karpathy
François Chollet
Z.ai
Top Stories
1) OpenAI ships GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark: ultra-fast, low-latency coding in Pro (Cerebras-powered)
Why it matters: Latency is becoming a first-class product differentiator for coding agents—Spark is positioned as a dedicated “fast tier” that complements GPU serving for real-time development workflows.
- Launch + availability: OpenAI introduced GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark as a research preview for ChatGPT Pro users in the Codex app, Codex CLI, and IDE extension.
- Performance emphasis: The model is framed as a major speed upgrade for coding and the “first in a family of ultra-fast models” for real-time development.
- Partnership + infra: Spark is described as the first milestone in OpenAI’s partnership with Cerebras, providing a faster tier for workloads where low latency is critical.
- Current limitations + roadmap: Spark is text-only with a 128k context window, with plans to add larger models, longer context, and multimodal inputs as deployment learns accumulate.
- Codex-wide speedups coming: OpenAI says Codex will continue to get faster via improved response streaming, session initialization, and inference stack rewrites rolling out across all Codex models.
2) Google rolls out a major Gemini 3 Deep Think upgrade (benchmarks + practical science/engineering use)
Why it matters: Deep Think is being positioned not just as “better reasoning,” but as a specialized mode intended to move R&D work forward (with early deployments in research and engineering workflows).
- Headline benchmarks: Google reports 84.6% on ARC-AGI-2 (verified by ARC Prize Foundation), 48.4% on Humanity’s Last Exam (without tools), and 3455 Elo on Codeforces.
- Availability: Deep Think is available now in the Gemini app for Google AI Ultra subscribers, and via the Gemini API to select researchers/engineers/enterprises through early access.
- Practical applications highlighted:
- Sketch → 3D-printable file generation by analyzing a drawing, building the shape, and generating an output file.
- Early testers report spotting subtle flaws in technical math papers and optimizing semiconductor crystal growth (including a recipe for thin films larger than 100 μm).
3) Open-source coding models tighten the gap: MiniMax M2.5 and GLM-5 push cost/perf and agentic workflows
Why it matters: Multiple releases point to a fast-moving open model layer that’s increasingly competitive for coding/agent tasks—often paired with integrations that make switching costs lower.
- MiniMax M2.5 positioning: MiniMax describes M2.5 as an open-source frontier model for “real-world productivity,” with SWE-Bench Verified 80.2%, BrowseComp 76.3%, and BFCL 76.8% (agentic tool-calling).
- Cost/speed claims in developer tooling: Cline reports M2.5 at 100 tokens/s and $0.06/M blended cost (with caching), alongside benchmark comparisons vs Opus 4.6.
- Access expands quickly: Ollama partnered with MiniMax for free usage of M2.5 for a couple of days (cloud model), with CLI “launch” integrations for multiple coding tools.
- GLM-5 scale + intent: Zai_org positions GLM-5 for complex systems engineering and long-horizon agentic tasks, scaling to 744B params (40B active) and 28.5T pretraining tokens.
4) Anthropic announces $30B Series G at $380B post-money, citing $14B run-rate revenue
Why it matters: The funding round is framed explicitly as fuel for research, product, and infrastructure scale—plus wider distribution of Claude.
- Financing + valuation: Anthropic says it raised $30B at a $380B post-money valuation.
- Business metrics disclosed: Anthropic reports $14B run-rate revenue, with “over 10x” growth in each of the past three years.
- Use of proceeds: The company says the investment will deepen research, innovate in products, and expand infrastructure as it makes Claude available “everywhere our customers are.”
5) ARC-AGI-2 heats up: Gemini 3 Deep Think at 84.6% and an agent-based 85.28% SOTA; Chollet outlines ARC’s benchmark roadmap
Why it matters: ARC continues to function as a focal point for “reasoning + adaptation” claims, while its creator reiterates it’s a research tool—not a proof-of-AGI milestone.
- Scores cited: Gemini 3 Deep Think is reported at 84.6% on ARC-AGI-2.
- New SOTA claim: Agentica reports 85.28% using an agent (~350 lines) that writes and runs code.
- Benchmark roadmap: François Chollet says ARC-4 is in the works (early 2027), ARC-5 is planned, and a final ARC may be 6–7, aiming to keep making benchmarks until no “humans can do and AI can’t” tasks remain; he also states “AGI ~2030.”
Research & Innovation
Smaller models + test-time compute: theorem proving and reasoning infrastructure
Why it matters: Several updates emphasize using scaffolds, RL, and test-time compute to make smaller or specialized models punch above their weight.
- QED-Nano (4B) theorem prover: Presented as the smallest theorem-proving model to date, matching much larger models on IMO-ProofBench in natural language (no Lean/external tools). It’s post-trained with RL using rubrics as rewards and open-sourced on Hugging Face.
- Agentica’s recursive harness: Commentary describes the ARC-AGI-2 result as using a deeply recursive RLM-style loop with a stateful REPL to manage long horizons beyond a single context window.
Data contamination + evaluation tooling: searching trillion-token corpora
Why it matters: As benchmark contamination concerns grow, faster “soft match” search for near-duplicates becomes a practical requirement for trustworthy evals.
- SoftMatcha 2 (Sakana AI + collaborators): A “fast and soft pattern matcher” that searches trillion-scale corpora in under 0.3 seconds, handling semantic variations (substitution/insertion/deletion) and identifying potential benchmark contamination missed by exact match.
Long-context efficiency + architecture work
Why it matters: Attention and serving efficiency are repeatedly highlighted as the constraint for long-horizon agents and large-context models.
- HySparse (Xiaomi MiMo): A hybrid sparse attention architecture interleaving full attention with multiple sparse layers that derive token selection and KV caches from the preceding full layer.
- Hybrid linear attention claims: A post describes a GQA overhaul mixing Multi-head Linear Attention (MLA) with Lightning Linear, claiming 3x+ throughput at >32K context and >10x reduced memory access overhead.
Products & Launches
Developer productivity: long-running agents and parallelism
Why it matters: New tooling is shifting from “single chat sessions” to sustained, parallel, and observable agent workflows.
- Cursor long-running agents: Cursor reports long-running coding agents peaking at 1,000+ commits/hour across hundreds of agents in a week-long run, now available to Ultra/Teams/Enterprise.
- Cline v3.58.0 subagents: Adds native subagents that run parallel subtasks with their own contexts (experimental in VSCode/CLI), plus GLM-5 support.
Search and realtime interaction building blocks
Why it matters: Agents doing multi-step work become limited by tool latency—especially web search.
- Exa Instant: Launched as a sub-200ms search engine, described as custom-built for realtime AI products like chat and voice.
Speech + translation
Why it matters: Open-source realtime speech translation expands what can run locally or be integrated without closed, hosted constraints.
- Kyutai Hibiki-Zero: An open-source real-time multilingual speech translation model (French/Spanish/Portuguese/German → English), emphasizing low latency, high audio quality, and voice transfer.
Industry Moves
New companies and funding
Why it matters: Capital continues to cluster around “new interfaces” (simulation, agents) and infrastructure that turns models into usable systems.
- Simile raises $100M: Positioned around simulating human behavior; funding cited from Index, Hanabi, A* BCV, and angels including Karpathy, Fei-Fei Li, Adam D’Angelo, and others.
- Meta infrastructure buildout: Meta is breaking ground on a 1GW data center in Lebanon, Indiana, described as over $10B in infrastructure investment.
Data and ecosystem partnerships
Why it matters: Data access (and who pays for it) is becoming a key constraint—and business model—for model development.
- Wikimedia high-speed API program: Wikimedia partnered with AI firms (including Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Mistral AI, Perplexity) to provide high-speed API access to Wikipedia and related datasets, aiming to support developers while reducing infrastructure strain from crawlers.
Policy & Regulation
Legal risk: AI chats and privilege
Why it matters: Courts are now directly addressing whether AI-generated materials are privileged—raising immediate compliance and workflow questions for legal teams.
- SDNY ruling (Judge Jed Rakoff): 31 documents generated using an AI tool (Claude) and later shared with defense attorneys were ruled not protected by attorney-client privilege or work product doctrine. Reasons cited include that AI is not an attorney and that the provider’s terms disclaimed an attorney-client relationship; forwarding documents later does not retroactively make them privileged.
Platform churn: model deprecations
Why it matters: Rapid iteration cycles increasingly force product teams to plan for upgrades, regressions, and continuity.
- OpenAI deprecations in ChatGPT: OpenAI says legacy models (GPT-5, GPT-4o, GPT-4.1, GPT-4.1 mini, o4-mini) will be deprecated in ChatGPT at 10am PT the next day.
Political engagement on AI policy
Why it matters: Leading labs are funding policy engagement while warning that the policy window is tightening.
- Anthropic donation: Anthropic says AI is being adopted faster than any technology in history and the policy window is closing; it is contributing $20M to Public First Action, described as a new bipartisan organization.
Quick Takes
Why it matters: These are smaller updates that may still become default tools, constraints, or reference points.
- Karpathy’s microGPT: A minimal “train + inference GPT” implementation in 243 lines of dependency-free Python, later simplified to 200 lines by returning local gradients per op and letting
backward()chain them. - Soft shift in software workflows: A firm says it’s rethinking a banker take-home test because their technical cofounder (no IB experience) can now “one-shot” it using Opus 4.6.
- ColGrep / LateOn-Code: Introduced as lightweight local code retrieval that “wins 70% vs grep” and uses “15.7% fewer tokens,” with Claude Code integration mentioned.
- UN scientific panel on AI: The UN General Assembly appointed 40 experts to an Independent International Scientific Panel on AI, described as providing evidence-based scientific assessments to inform international deliberations.
Lenny's Podcast
Naval
Andrej Karpathy
Most compelling recommendation: the “incompressible” core of GPT training + inference
- Title: Train and inference GPT in 243 lines of pure, dependency-free Python
- Content type: Code / Gist
- Author/creator: Andrej Karpathy
- Link/URL: https://gist.github.com/karpathy/8627fe009c40f57531cb18360106ce95
- Recommended by: Naval Ravikant
- Key takeaway (as shared): Karpathy frames it as a “new art project” that contains the full algorithmic content needed for GPT training and inference—everything else is “just for efficiency,” and he “cannot simplify this any further.” Naval’s reaction: “Incompressible.”
- Why it matters: It’s a deliberately minimal reference implementation meant to isolate what’s essential in the algorithm, without dependencies or additional scaffolding.
“Incompressible.”
A theme across multiple recs: programming is getting more “incantation-like” as models improve
Structure and Interpretation of Computer Programs (SICP)
- Title: Structure and Interpretation of Computer Programs (SICP)
- Content type: Book (programming textbook)
- Author/creator: Not specified in the clip (referred to as an MIT textbook with a cult following)
- Link/URL: Not provided
- Recommended by: Sherwin Wu (Head of Engineering, OpenAI API Platform) on Lenny’s Podcast
- Key takeaway (as shared): Wu recalls SICP’s metaphor: software engineers as “wizards,” programming languages as “incantations,” and argues it’s “playing out” in today’s AI tooling—where you can tell tools like Codex and Cursor what you want, and they do it for you.
- Why it matters: Wu’s framing is a practical lens for “vibe coding”: higher leverage, but also the need to stay engaged so the system doesn’t “go off the rails.”
“The models will eat your scaffolding for breakfast” (AI agents)
- Title: X article on AI agent best practices for financial services
- Content type: Article (X)
- Author/creator: Nicholas (founder of a startup called Fintool)
- Link/URL: Not provided
- Recommended by: Sherwin Wu (quoting it as a standout line)
- Key takeaway (as shared): “The models will eat your scaffolding for breakfast.”
- Why it matters: A compact reminder that model capability can quickly obsolete brittle workflows and glue code—worth keeping in mind when investing heavily in complex agent scaffolding.
“The models will eat your scaffolding for breakfast.”
Management + engineering leverage: the “surgeon” metaphor
The Mythical Man-Month
- Title: The Mythical Man-Month
- Content type: Book
- Author/creator: Not specified in the clip (book cited as the source of the metaphor)
- Link/URL: Not provided
- Recommended by: Sherwin Wu
- Key takeaway (as shared): Wu uses the “software engineer as a surgeon” metaphor (one lead “surgeon,” others supporting) as a guide for his management philosophy: empower the engineer doing the work by proactively unblocking them—“looking around corners”—especially as shipping bottlenecks become more organizational/process-driven.
- Why it matters: It’s a concrete framework for high-support engineering management: optimize for unblocking and readiness (having the “scalpel” ready) rather than micromanaging execution.
Lightning-round reading list (from Sherwin Wu)
Fiction: There is no Antimemetics Division
- Title: There is no Antimemetics Division
- Content type: Book (fiction)
- Author/creator: qntm
- Link/URL: Not provided
- Recommended by: Sherwin Wu
- Key takeaway (as shared): Wu calls it “super well written” and “super fascinating,” saying he “devoured it in like two days.” It’s about a government agency fighting things that “make you forget it.”
- Why it matters: A strongly endorsed, fast-moving sci-fi pick for readers who like idea-dense premises and unusual narrative constraints.
Nonfiction: Breakneck
- Title: Breakneck
- Content type: Book (nonfiction)
- Author/creator: Dan Wang
- Link/URL: Not provided
- Recommended by: Sherwin Wu
- Key takeaway (as shared): Wu highlights an analogy from the book: the US as a “lawyerly society,” China as an “engineering society,” with pros and cons to each.
- Why it matters: A pointed framing device for thinking about US–China differences and tradeoffs, as surfaced by an operator reading for models (not headlines).
Nonfiction: Patrick McGee’s book on Apple in China
- Title: Patrick McGee book on Apple in China (exact title not stated)
- Content type: Book (nonfiction)
- Author/creator: Patrick McGee
- Link/URL: Not provided
- Recommended by: Sherwin Wu
- Key takeaway (as shared): Wu found it “super fascinating” for learning about Apple’s relationship to China, and says it had “a lot of inside information about Apple as a company.”
- Why it matters: A timely, narrative-driven option if you want a deeper view into Apple’s China relationship and internal company details (as described).
One contrarian “worth reading” pointer: Singapore discourse
- Title: “Why is Singapore No Longer Cool?”
- Content type: Blog post / article
- Author/creator: Tyler Cowen
- Link/URL: https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/02/why-is-singapore-no-longer-cool.html
- Recommended by: Balaji Srinivasan
- Key takeaway (as shared): Balaji says Cowen’s post is “worth reading,” while noting he draws “very much the opposite conclusions.”
- Why it matters: A clean setup for sharpening your own view: read the argument, then test it against an explicitly opposed interpretation from another prominent voice.
Product Management
Jackie Bavaro
Lenny Rachitsky
Big Ideas
1) Product roadmaps are being rewritten for agent-first consumption (not “destination apps”)
A thread in r/ProductManagement argues that trends like Model Context Protocol, Skills, and Generative UI are already changing how software gets consumed . The post’s core question for PMs: Is your roadmap built for a world where users never see your interface?
It highlights three implications:
- “The destination app is dying”: users increasingly want agents to fetch your data and render it inline—pushing products toward being headless data providers.
- Ephemeral UI: interfaces generated on-demand by intent, used briefly, then discarded; design systems become reference material for an LLM .
- Value shifts to the substrate: competitive advantage moves from dashboards to your data model and how efficiently agents can call your tools .
Why it matters: if these assumptions hold for your category, “shipping UI” is less defensible than “shipping reliable, callable capabilities.”
How to apply this week: pressure-test your roadmap themes against the three implications above—especially whether your platform can be consumed without your UI (data access, tool invocation, and outputs).
2) AI can compress discovery analysis from 10+ hours to under an hour—if you standardize the framework
Aakash Gupta summarizes a step-by-step, AI-assisted discovery workflow (demoed with Caitlin Sullivan) and frames discovery as a core PM skill . In a “10 interviews” example, AI can reduce analysis from 10+ hours to 30–50 minutes.
A key concept is value anchors: the core reasons users care about your product—the things that, if removed, would cause users to leave .
Why it matters: speed alone doesn’t help if every researcher synthesizes differently. This approach emphasizes consistent outputs (including quotes/timestamps) so patterns and prioritization debates are evidence-based.
How to apply: adopt a single interview analysis template (retention segment → value anchors → recommendations) and reuse it across every interview so you can synthesize by frequency.
3) AI product strategy: don’t over-invest in today’s “scaffolding,” and don’t expect adoption from mandates
Two practical notes from Lenny Rachitsky’s posts:
- “Models will eat your scaffolding for breakfast”: don’t optimize your AI product around today’s model limitations—tooling that feels essential now (e.g., vector stores, agent frameworks) may become obsolete as models improve .
- “Most enterprise AI deployments have negative ROI” when they’re top-down mandates without bottom-up adoption; a suggested remedy is forming a tiger team of technically-minded enthusiasts (often not engineers) to explore capabilities and prototype workflow improvements while also securing executive buy-in .
A related startup heuristic shared: build products that work at ~80% capability now, expecting the next model release to push them “over the line” .
Why it matters: your architecture and rollout plan can become the bottleneck—not the model.
How to apply: treat “scaffolding” decisions as reversible where possible, and pair executive sponsorship with a hands-on internal group shipping workflow wins people actually want to adopt.
4) Strategy is how you avoid mistaking motion for progress
Jackie Bavaro calls out a common failure mode—confusing busy-work for meaningful progress—and ties strategy to putting time toward goals you care about:
“The reason I push so much on strategy is that I’ve seen many people confuse busy-work for meaningful progress.”
Why it matters: if AI accelerates output, it can also accelerate misalignment.
How to apply: use strategy as a filter: explicitly map the week’s work to the few goals that matter most, and deprioritize work that doesn’t connect.
Tactical Playbook
1) AI-powered discovery workflow (surveys → interviews → synthesis → share-out)
This is the step-by-step process described for Claude Projects.
A) Survey analysis (fast segmentation + drivers + risks)
- Export survey data into a clean spreadsheet (rows = responses, columns = questions; include timestamps if you have them) .
- Upload the spreadsheet to a Claude Project (example project name: “Meditation App Retention Study”) .
- Use a structured prompt that forces usable outputs (patterns/themes, insights by question, segments, recommendations) and requires supporting quotes and implications for product decisions .
- Iterate with follow-up prompts for segment deep dives (example given: “therapy seekers”) .
- Export a markdown deliverable with an executive summary, detailed findings, supporting quotes, and clearly called-out recommendations .
B) Interview analysis (consistent per-interview output)
- Get clean transcripts (with permission) and ensure speaker labels; transcript quality affects analysis quality .
-
Use a consistent analysis prompt that returns:
- Retention assessment (segment, drivers, churn risks)
- Value anchors (feature, why it matters, quote with timestamp, competitive context, removal risk)
- Recommendations (retention improvements, churn risk reduction, competitive gaps)
- Analyze each interview (example timing: 3–5 minutes) .
- Synthesize across interviews by frequency: what repeats vs. one-offs; output becomes the executive summary .
- Create a master document: executive summary + individual analyses + supporting evidence + recommendations (prioritized by frequency) .
2) Turn the workflow into a “discovery agent” (when it’s worth automating)
When to build agents:
- You’re running research regularly (weekly/monthly)
- You need consistent analysis across many interviews
- Multiple people do research
- You want to scale without hiring more researchers
When not to: one-off projects, unclear analysis framework, or no resources to maintain the agent—and a recommended rule: start manual; after 10+ interviews done the same way, automate it .
Agent architecture (3 components):
- Data pipeline: access to research data (e.g., surveys via Google Sheets; interviews via transcript files in a shared folder) .
- Analysis logic: prompts/instructions that encode how to process inputs and what outputs to generate .
- Output generation: save results as useful artifacts (markdown files with executive summaries, findings, supporting quotes, and recommendations) .
Implementation pattern described: define an instructions.md “operating manual,” then use Claude Code to generate Python scripts that read inputs, call the Claude API for analysis, and write markdown outputs; test against your manual workflow and then schedule runs .
3) Make discovery outputs more decision-ready with 6 “production-grade” analysis techniques
A set of advanced techniques described for survey/interview analysis:
- Comparative analysis: ask users who considered alternatives what attracted them, why they stayed, and what would trigger switching; output a competitive feature matrix .
- Longitudinal tracking: compare results month-over-month to see strengthening/weakening themes, new patterns, and increased retention risks .
- Sentiment analysis: assess sentiment, emotional intensity, and confidence to weight what feedback matters most .
- Hypothesis testing: evaluate interviews for evidence supporting/refuting a hypothesis (example given: morning routine → higher retention) .
- Risk scoring: score users 0–10 on churn risk based on number of value anchors, price sensitivity, alternative consideration, and feature dependency .
- Feature prioritization matrix: combine research + usage data; include mentions, segment, retention impact, competitive gap, and a recommended priority (P0/P1/P2) .
4) Design workshops to produce decisions (not “blah blah blah”) using visual playbooks
Strategyzer argues that visual tools and facilitation techniques move teams from abstract talk to concrete artifacts, shared understanding, participation, and speed—and warns that without systematic use, you “won’t actually get to results” .
Practical pattern (from multiple workshop examples):
- Establish rules of engagement to prevent rabbit holes (e.g., “red brick” someone when they go off-tangent), time-boxing, and staying present (no multitasking) .
- Use a digital playbook so participants add ideas simultaneously and everything is captured as you go (instead of photos + write-up later) .
- Use trigger questions for ideation, dot voting for prioritization, and lightweight artifacts (e.g., napkin sketches) to keep energy and clarity high .
Case Studies & Lessons
1) Meditation app retention study: synthesize “value anchors” by frequency to make prioritization defensible
In the example workflow’s outputs:
- Survey analysis identified 3 stable subscriber segments and 2 at-risk segments, plus 4 key retention drivers and 3 churn risk factors.
-
Interview synthesis highlighted what repeated across interviews (vs. one-offs):
- Habit formation mentioned by 5/5 users
- Therapy chat mentioned by 4/5 users
- Price sensitivity mentioned by 2/5 users
Lesson: synthesizing by frequency helps focus effort on patterns that matter (and preserves evidence so decisions can be defended later).
2) Honeywell Growth Symposium: reduce investment risk with pre-work artifacts + structured pitches
Strategyzer describes growth symposiums run globally to help teams sharpen ideas and reduce investment risk . The format emphasized preparation via artifacts (over about a month): customer ecosystem map, customer profile, value scene storyboard, business model canvas, a simple financial prototype, and known unknowns .
During the session, teams iterated through multiple pitches (including reworking the financial prototype) and presented to senior leaders .
Lesson: make “what to bring” explicit (visual artifacts), then use the workshop to improve evidence and reasoning—not to brainstorm from scratch.
3) A “rabbit hole” team got to 3–5 Q1 ideas and a 2026 roadmap in one day
A London workshop example started with clear pain points: too many rabbit holes, talk in circles, nothing captured, and no roadmap/direction .
Interventions included rules of engagement, time boxing, and digital playbooks for real-time capture; the workshop culminated in prioritized ideas (“pursue now / shelve / bin”), business model canvases for chosen ideas, and actions with owners and deadlines .
Outcome reported: in one day, the team selected 3–5 ideas for the first quarter and produced a roadmap for 2026 .
Lesson: process design (capture + prioritization mechanics) can be the difference between “alignment theater” and actual next steps.
4) Strategy playbooks: stack tools to move from “where are we?” to “what do we do next?”
A pharma case describes stacking tools into a structured strategy conversation: portfolio map + disruption risk scorecard to evaluate current position, business model canvas “epicenters” with trigger questions to generate options, and the Opportunity Navigator (potential vs. challenge) to map and prioritize options .
Lesson: treat strategy as a sequence of exercises—current reality → option generation → structured feedback → prioritization—so teams can move from high-level vision to implementation details in a controlled way .
Career Corner
1) PM skill growth: expect the emphasis to shift from execution to strategy + influence as you level up
Mind the Product highlights Ravi Mehta’s Product Competency Toolkit: junior/mid-level PMs skew toward execution (shipping, specs, working closely with design/engineering), while more senior roles shift toward strategy, decision-making, and alignment—built on four pillars: product execution, customer insight, product strategy, and influencing people .
How to apply: if you’re targeting a promotion, explicitly rebalance your portfolio toward strategy and influence work—and write it up that way (see CV tactics below).
2) CV upgrades that map to what hiring systems (and humans) look for
Tactics shown in the ProductTank session:
- Use STAR stories (Situation, Task, Action, Result) and emphasize outcomes/impact (including numbers where relevant) .
- Improve phrasing from task-based to outcome-based by adding evidence of customer listening (user research, interviews, usability testing), plus KPIs and feedback loops .
- Because hiring is increasingly automated, one suggested approach is asking an assistant to explain the reasoning behind wording improvements so you understand what signals it’s optimizing for .
3) Considering a startup switch? Validate the culture with employee conversations (not just the hiring manager)
A Principal PM in medical devices described interviewing with a software startup using AI heavily for development efficiency and worried about burnout risk . One piece of advice: have honest conversations with current employees beyond your hiring manager to understand how they approach commitments and deadlines . Another comment notes startups carry failure risk and constant flux, which may not fit someone seeking stability; the commenter said nothing described sounded like a red flag based on what was shared .
4) Interview practice: free MAANG-style mocks offered
A Big Tech PM who reports successfully completing multiple MAANG PM loops offered free mock interviews (product sense, analytical thinking, behavioral) with direct feedback .
Resource: the offer is posted here: https://www.reddit.com/r/prodmgmt/comments/1r2zhf2/ and includes a LinkedIn contact: https://www.linkedin.com/in/johnnymai-global/.
Tools & Resources
- AI-powered discovery walkthrough (Aakash Gupta / Caitlin Sullivan): https://www.news.aakashg.com/p/caitlin-sullivan-podcast
- Agent-first roadmap debate (r/ProductManagement): https://www.reddit.com/r/ProductManagement/comments/1r2pkfd/
- Strategyzer: playbooks for world-class meetings/workshops (YouTube): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jC3LUvQXcI
- ProductTank İstanbul: Mastering a CV for a Product Manager (YouTube): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhIbAAq7i9c
- Confluence knowledge base hygiene: treat it as a system (not a dumping ground), enforce hierarchies/templates/IA early, and consider tools like Refined Sites for visual customization
- Claude Code “PM tasks” grab bag: draft PRDs from templates, parse CSVs for feature requests, prepare interview questions by company/level, run competitive research across pricing pages, and build working React prototypes from wireframes
Foreign Ag Service
Successful Farming
Market Movers
U.S. grains: futures firm on trade headlines and export/ethanol updates (U.S./China)
Early-session quotes showed broad strength: March corn up 1.25¢ to 428¾, soybeans up 13.75¢ to 1137¾, Chicago wheat up 3.5¢ to 540¾, KC wheat up 4¢ to 542½, and spring wheat up 2¢ to 572¼.
Trade was a key driver in soybean price action:
- Chinese media reported the U.S.–China trade truce could be extended by one year, and China confirmed discussions about Trump’s planned April visit.
- The truce extension was framed as supportive for continued Chinese soybean buying, and soybean futures briefly traded into fresh multi-month highs.
On demand/usage:
- U.S. exporters sold 9 million bushels of corn to unknown destinations for delivery in the current marketing year, with accumulated corn sales up 31% vs. the same period last year .
- Weekly ethanol output rose to 1.1 million barrels/day (+16% week-over-week), while ethanol stocks increased to 25.25 million barrels.
China feed signals: sorghum demand up, but corn buying still absent (China/U.S.)
Reuters reported China bought 45 cargoes (~2.5 MMT) of U.S. sorghum over the past three months, though USDA has confirmed ~1.6 MMT in sales to China this year . Commentary tied sorghum demand to quality problems in China’s domestic corn (mold from heavy rains), with a USDA report cited as estimating up to 30 MMT of corn forced out of the feed market—described as about 10% of a 301 MMT crop .
At the same time, the same market commentary noted: China has not bought any U.S. corn this year, and bought “basically zero” last year .
Soybean exports: Egypt business appears despite weak weekly sales (U.S./Egypt)
USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service reported private exporters sold 108,000 MT of soybeans to Egypt for delivery in MY 2025/2026. Separately, a market note flagged soybean exports to Egypt as a “positive head scratcher,” alongside the point that soybean weekly export sales were the worst of the marketing year while prices still closed strong .
Livestock: mixed tone (U.S.)
- Cattle futures pulled back alongside declining box beef prices (quoted as the lowest level in 10 days) and worsening packer margins .
- Hogs saw a correction after a 12-week rally (summer contracts up about $18 over that stretch), with funds’ net long cited at ~123,000.
Innovation Spotlight
Corn rootworm: new trait stack positioned for 2027 (U.S.)
Farm Journal highlighted Syngenta’s DuraStack Trait Technology (available for the 2027 season), described as having three modes of action for corn rootworm control . A related segment described it as the industry’s first triple Bt protein stack and cited corn rootworm costs of up to $1 billion/year.
Livestock handling + health tools showcased at CattleCon (U.S.)
Several new tools emphasized labor efficiency, recordkeeping, and stress/health management:
- PowerVac (Henke Sass Wolf): a battery-driven injector with features including dose adjustment (2 mL and 5 mL options), position sensing, Bluetooth export of treatment records, and batteries described as lasting up to 10,000 applications when fully charged .
- Shoot-side pregnancy test (Central States Testing): uses two drops of blood with results in 5–10 minutes, framed as helpful given a decline in large-animal veterinarians and the need to improve vet time efficiency .
- CattleZen (Solvet): a topical, dual-pheromone calming product (5 mL above the muzzle) positioned for stressful events such as weaning and transport, aiming to reduce cortisol/adrenaline and support animal handling and performance .
Regenerative/organic market infrastructure: certifications, MRV, and long-run trials (U.S./EU/LatAm)
- Whole Foods Market approved the Soil Climate Initiative (SCI) as its fifth recognized regenerative certification, with SCI described as having 99% farmer retention and using independent third-party certification by SCS Global Services .
- CIBO Technologies and Nutrien launched a collaboration to scale sustainable ag in the U.S. Midwest; Nutrien programs were described as spanning 3.7 million acres globally, and CIBO was cited as helping drive ~$300M in EQIP funding requests in FY2025 .
- The South American Regenerative Agriculture (SARA) program issued its first VCUs under Verra’s VM0042 methodology, described as supporting 130+ farms across 150,000 hectares and generating 200,000 t CO₂e removals (2019–2023) .
Regional Developments
U.S. Corn Belt: drought maps worsen in key states (U.S.)
The latest U.S. Drought Monitor maps showed deterioration in parts of the Corn Belt, with areas in three top corn-producing states shifting from severe (D2) to extreme (D3) drought .
USDA acreage data: internal review launched after a record revision (U.S.)
USDA raised corn harvested acres by a record 4.5 million acres from July to the final January report . That revision prompted USDA-NASS to launch an internal review focused on data reliability . Issues cited included a large June survey-based miss, statistical/methodology concerns, survey response reluctance, and the impact of USDA staff cuts (noted as 20,000+) on processing FSA data feeds into NASS .
U.S. storage: capacity expansion stalls as utilization runs high (U.S.)
An interview on U.S. grain logistics reported that grain storage capacity growth has essentially stopped over the last five years, after two decades (2000–2020) where capacity growth closely matched production growth .
In the same coverage:
- On-farm storage was described as heavily used, with farmers holding more corn and beans and using about 80% of capacity this year, contributing to localized storage issues .
- High interest rates, high construction costs, and thin crop margins were cited as barriers to adding infrastructure .
Brazil: production outlook vs. margin pressure (Brazil)
- Conab projected Brazil’s 2025/26 grain production at 353.4M tons (+0.3% year-over-year), with soybean production projected at a record 178M tons.
- In Mato Grosso, soybean productivity was estimated around ~64 bags/ha this season (vs. >66 bags/ha last season), while local prices were described as falling below R$100/bag in some places and margins pressured by high costs and currency effects .
Brazil: dairy stress deepens amid imports and weak pricing (Brazil)
Brazil’s dairy sector was described as under heavy pressure from low prices and high imports:
- Milk prices were cited around R$2.00/L versus production costs of R$2.30–2.40/L.
- 2025 production was cited near 36 billion liters, with the average annual price paid at R$2.56/L (down 25.8%) .
- Mercosul dairy imports were cited at over 2 billion liters (milk-equivalent) in the prior year .
Best Practices
Seeding rate discipline: “flat yield curves” and profit protection (U.S.)
Updated university research summarized that corn and soybean yield responses can be “flat,” and that moderate populations can help protect profit while maintaining yield potential .
Herbicide burndown ahead of XtendFlex: execution details (U.S.)
Ag PhD discussed dicamba as a burndown ahead of XtendFlex soybeans, emphasizing:
- It’s described as effective on tough broadleaves (e.g., marestail, dandelion, pennycress, henbit) .
- Apply in warmer conditions for performance—70s°F preferred, with poor results cited in the 50s°F.
- Include a residual partner because dicamba has “almost no residual” activity .
Storage decisions: treat as a marketing tool, not an automatic ROI win (U.S.)
Recommendations from the storage interview centered on tying storage to a marketing plan and measuring whether storage capacity generates margin over time (noting returns can be episodic). It also suggested some operations may be better off moving grain earlier and letting other supply-chain partners carry storage risk .
Input Markets
Fertilizer: pricing pressure plus scrutiny on market concentration (U.S./Brazil)
- In Brazil, single superphosphate was cited as having risen more than $50/ton after a buying window roughly 4–5 months earlier; the commentary emphasized Brazil’s exposure as a major fertilizer importer and the need to manage logistics and timing .
- In the U.S., the Texas Corn Producers Association requested a status update from the DOJ on an investigation into fertilizer pricing and market concentration, echoing a similar letter from the Iowa Corn Growers Association; both called for meaningful antitrust action before the 2026 planting season .
Equipment: late-model used values hold; new product launches continue (U.S.)
- A used-equipment market segment described a “solid” marketplace after an auction featuring late-model, low-hour equipment; it also highlighted leaner inventories (e.g., 874 one-year-old combines on the market and 1,700 two-year-old combines) compared with earlier years .
- Successful Farming highlighted new equipment launches at the National Farm Machinery Show, including the Unverferth 60-Series Seed Runner bulk seed tender (multi-function operation) and JCB’s 250T compact track loader with 2,500-lb rated capacity and weight under 10,000 lb for transport .
Forward Outlook
China soybean demand: timing and terms matter (U.S./China)
Market commentary suggested additional Chinese soybean buying could be part of negotiations ahead of an April visit, with 8 million metric tons discussed “on top of” 12 million already purchased . The same coverage emphasized that timing is critical—deliveries late in the marketing year may have a smaller impact than the market is currently anticipating .
Biofuels policy: proposed mandates could tighten soy oil (U.S.)
A conference presentation described proposed biomass-based diesel mandates rising 33% in 2026 and 40% in 2027 (vs. 2025), with an estimated soybean oil price impact of +10–15¢/lb and a possible $0.50–$1.00/bu lift in U.S. soybean prices if finalized. The rules were described as not yet finalized, with timing cited as by the end of March.
Scheduling: CME holiday hours (U.S.)
CME grain trading schedule around Presidents Day: Sunday night closed, Monday day session closed (reopens 7:00 pm CST), and Tuesday returns to normal hours.
Discover agents
Subscribe to public agents from the community or create your own—private for yourself or public to share.
Coding Agents Alpha Tracker
Daily high-signal briefing on coding agents: how top engineers use them, the best workflows, productivity tips, high-leverage tricks, leading tools/models/systems, and the people leaking the most alpha. Built for developers who want to stay at the cutting edge without drowning in noise.
AI in EdTech Weekly
Weekly intelligence briefing on how artificial intelligence and technology are transforming education and learning - covering AI tutors, adaptive learning, online platforms, policy developments, and the researchers shaping how people learn.
Bitcoin Payment Adoption Tracker
Monitors Bitcoin adoption as a payment medium and currency worldwide, tracking merchant acceptance, payment infrastructure, regulatory developments, and transaction usage metrics
AI News Digest
Daily curated digest of significant AI developments including major announcements, research breakthroughs, policy changes, and industry moves
Global Agricultural Developments
Tracks farming innovations, best practices, commodity trends, and global market dynamics across grains, livestock, dairy, and agricultural inputs
Recommended Reading from Tech Founders
Tracks and curates reading recommendations from prominent tech founders and investors across podcasts, interviews, and social media